Popular Support for an Undemocratic Regime :The Changing Views of Russians

Publication subTitle :The Changing Views of Russians

Author: Richard Rose; William Mishler; Neil Munro  

Publisher: Cambridge University Press‎

Publication year: 2011

E-ISBN: 9781139066419

P-ISBN(Paperback): 9781107009523

Subject: D0 Political Theory

Keyword: 政治理论

Language: ENG

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Popular Support for an Undemocratic Regime

Description

To survive, all forms of government require popular support, whether voluntary or involuntary. Following the collapse of the Soviet system, Russia's rulers took steps toward democracy, yet under Vladimir Putin Russia has become increasingly undemocratic. This book uses a unique source of evidence, eighteen surveys of Russian public opinion from the first month of the new regime in 1992 up to 2009, to track the changing views of Russians. Clearly presented and sophisticated figures and tables show how political support has increased because of a sense of resignation that is even stronger than the unstable benefits of exporting oil and gas. Whilst comparative analyses of surveys on other continents show that Russia's elite is not alone in being able to mobilize popular support for an undemocratic regime, Russia provides an outstanding caution that popular support can grow when governors reject democracy and create an undemocratic regime.

Chapter

Mixing support and compliance

Theories of support

Worldwide support for regimes of all kinds

2 Changing the supply of regimes

Hard and soft coercion

Ideology and fear: the Stalinist approach

Promoting positive support

Competition for support

Yeltsin struggles to fill the void

A peaceful succession

3 Putin consolidates a new regime

Repatriating power to the Kremlin

A floating system of parties

Emergence of a party of power

Institutionalizing a noncompetitive party system

Creating United Russia

A hegemonic party system

4 Increasing support for an undemocratic regime

Support with and without democratization

Empirical responses to democracy as symbol

Measuring support

Dynamics of regime support

Contrasting elite evaluations of change

The changing views of Russians

Variability of support

A lifetime of learning and relearning

5 Individual influences on regime support

Social differences inevitable; their influence is not

Political performance matters

The regime that Russians want

The regime Russians get

The economy that matters

Combining influences

6 Time tells: there is no alternative

Stable and variable influences

Expectations of change

Context and time

Combining context and individual evaluations

7 Finessing the challenge of succession

The problem of term limits

Speculating about alternatives

Ending uncertainty

Organizing the right result

Substantively, voters endorse Putin's choices

Contrasting views of electoral fairness

Politics influences perceptions of fairness

Influence of election unfairness on regime support

8 The challenge of economic reversal

Crisis at the top

Vulnerability at the bottom

Crisis creates new anxieties

Depression more subjective than objective

The economy reverses, support remains high

Political support predictably affected by crisis

Crisis evaluations of the economy

9 Maintaining a regime - democratic or otherwise

Maintaining an undemocratic regime

Containing would-be opponents

Gaining support from skeptics and the compliant

Insulation from external influences

Challenges

The durability of post-Soviet regimes

Challenges, predictable and otherwise

Political support helps undemocratic and democratic regimes

Support promotes durability

Appendix A: New Russia Barometer samples

New Russia Barometer I: 26 January-25 February 1992 (SPP 205)

New Russia Barometer II: 26 June-22 July 1993 (SPP 216)

New Russia Barometer VII: 6 March-13 April 1998 (SPP 303)

New Russia Barometer VIII: 13-29 January 2000 (SPP 328)

New Russia Barometer IX: 14-18 April 2000 (SPP 330)

New Russia Barometer X: 17 June-3 July 2001 (SPP 350)

New Russia Barometer XI: 12-26 June 2003 (SPP 378)

New Russia Barometer XII: 12-22 December 2003 (SPP 384)

New Russia Barometer XIII: 18-23 March 2004 (SPP 388)

New Russia Barometer XIV: 3-23 January 2005 (SPP 402)

New Russia Barometer XV: 13-23 April 2007 (SPP 426)

New Russia Barometer XVI: 7-17 December 2007 (SPP 442)

New Russia Barometer XVII: 14-23 March 2008 (SPP 443)

New Russia Barometer XVIII: 18-24 June 2009 (SPP 462)

Appendix B: Coding of variables

References

Index

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