Forecast Verification :A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science

Publication subTitle :A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science

Author: Ian T. Jolliffe  

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc‎

Publication year: 2003

E-ISBN: 9780470864418

P-ISBN(Hardback):  9780471497592

Subject: P45 weather forecast

Language: ENG

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Description

This handy reference introduces the subject of forecast verification and provides a review of the basic concepts, discussing different types of data that may be forecast.

Each chapter covers a different type of predicted quantity (predictand), then looks at some of the relationships between economic value and skill scores, before moving on to review the key concepts and summarise aspects of forecast verification that receive the most attention in other disciplines.

The book concludes with a discussion on the most important topics in the field that are the subject of current research or that would benefit from future research.

  • An easy to read guide of current techniques with real life case studies
  • An up-to-date and practical introduction to the different techniques and an examination of their strengths and weaknesses
  • Practical advice given by some of the world?s leading forecasting experts
  • Case studies and illustrations of actual verification and its interpretation
  • Comprehensive glossary and consistent statistical and mathematical definition of commonly used terms

Chapter

Contents

pp.:  1 – 7

List of contributors

pp.:  7 – 11

Preface

pp.:  11 – 13

Chapter 1 Introduction

pp.:  13 – 17

Chapter 2 Basic Concepts

pp.:  17 – 29

Chapter 3 Binary Events

pp.:  29 – 53

Chapter 4 Categorical Events

pp.:  53 – 93

Chapter 5 Continuous Variables

pp.:  93 – 113

Chapter 6 Verification of Spatial Fields

pp.:  113 – 137

Chapter 7 Probability and Ensemble Forecasts

pp.:  137 – 153

Chapter 8 Economic Value and Skill

pp.:  153 – 181

Chapter 9 Forecast Verification: Past, Present and Future

pp.:  181 – 205

Glossary

pp.:  205 – 219

References

pp.:  219 – 231

Author Index

pp.:  231 – 243

Subject Index

pp.:  243 – 247

LastPages

pp.:  247 – 256

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