International Migration in Europe ：Data, Models and Estimates

Publication subTitle ：Data, Models and Estimates

Author： James Raymer  

Publisher： John Wiley & Sons Inc‎

Publication year： 2008

E-ISBN: 9780470985540

P-ISBN(Hardback):  9780470032336

Subject： O Mathematical Sciences and Chemical;O211 probability (probability theory, probability theory)

Language： ENG

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Description

At present there is no unified treatment, drawing together models to allow a consistent and reliable set of migration flows, across countries. This text seeks to do exactly that, potentially improving policies, planning and understanding about migration processes worldwide, via the presentation of migration estimation and modeling techniques. These modeling techniques are explored from both frequentist and Bayesian perspectives. The vital concepts such as missing data and collection methods (and their possible harmonization) are discussed in depth, and there are whole chapters dedicated to both modeling asylum flows and forecasts about the future of international migration.

Chapter

Contents

pp.：  1 – 9

Contributors

pp.：  9 – 17

Preface

pp.：  17 – 19

1 Introduction and outline

pp.：  19 – 21

Part I Data Issues

pp.：  21 – 29

2 Counting foreign-born and expatriates in OECD countries: a new perspective

pp.：  29 – 31

3 Comparability of statistics on international migration flows in the European Union

pp.：  31 – 61

4 Evolution of international migration statistics in selected Central European countries

pp.：  61 – 93

5 Foreign migrants in Southern European countries: evaluation of recent data

pp.：  93 – 109

Part II Models

pp.：  109 – 135

6 Models of migration: observations and judgements

pp.：  135 – 137

7 Bayesian estimation of migration flows

pp.：  137 – 169

8 Applying model migration schedules to represent age-specific migration flows

pp.：  169 – 195

9 Models for migration age schedules: a Bayesian perspective with an application to flows between Scotland and England

pp.：  195 – 213

Part III Current Estimates

pp.：  213 – 227

10 Obtaining an overall picture of population movement in the European Union

pp.：  227 – 229

11 A simple method for inferring substitution and generation from gross flows: asylum seekers in Europe

pp.：  229 – 255

Part IV Forecasting

pp.：  255 – 273

12 Bayesian methods in international migration forecasting

pp.：  273 – 275

13 Forecasting international migration: time series projections vs argument-based forecasts

pp.：  275 – 303

Part V Demographic Consequences

pp.：  303 – 327

14 International migration component in population dynamics models

pp.：  327 – 329

15 What happens when international migrants settle? Projections of ethnic groups in United Kingdom regions

pp.：  329 – 349

16 Conclusion

pp.：  349 – 379

Index

pp.：  379 – 391

LastPages

pp.：  391 – 405

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