Modeling Uncertainty in the Earth Sciences

Author: Professor Jef Caers  

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc‎

Publication year: 2011

E-ISBN: 9781119995937

P-ISBN(Paperback): 9781119992622

P-ISBN(Hardback):  9781119992639

Subject: P5 Geology

Language: ENG

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Description

Modeling Uncertainty in the Earth Sciences highlights the various issues, techniques and practical modeling tools available for modeling the uncertainty of complex Earth systems and the impact that it has on practical situations. The aim of the book is to provide an introductory overview which covers a broad range of tried-and-tested tools. Descriptions of concepts, philosophies, challenges, methodologies and workflows give the reader an understanding of the best way to make decisions under uncertainty for Earth Science problems.

The book covers key issues such as: Spatial and time aspect; large complexity and dimensionality; computation power; costs of 'engineering' the Earth; uncertainty in the modeling and decision process. Focusing on reliable and practical methods this book provides an invaluable primer for the complex area of decision making with uncertainty in the Earth Sciences.

Chapter

Contents

pp.:  1 – 7

Preface

pp.:  7 – 13

Acknowledgements

pp.:  13 – 19

1 Introduction

pp.:  19 – 21

3 Modeling Uncertainty: Concepts and Philosophies

pp.:  29 – 59

4 Engineering the Earth: Making Decisions Under Uncertainty

pp.:  59 – 75

5 Modeling Spatial Continuity

pp.:  75 – 97

6 Modeling Spatial Uncertainty

pp.:  97 – 113

7 Constraining Spatial Models of Uncertainty with Data

pp.:  113 – 127

8 Modeling Structural Uncertainty

pp.:  127 – 153

9 Visualizing Uncertainty

pp.:  153 – 173

10 Modeling Response Uncertainty

pp.:  173 – 191

11 Value of Information

pp.:  191 – 213

12 Example Case Study

pp.:  213 – 235

Index

pp.:  235 – 245

LastPages

pp.:  245 – 249

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