Publication series : IMF Staff Discussion Notes
Author: Mr. Aasim M. Husain Mr. Rabah Arezki Mr. Peter Breuer Mr. Vikram Haksar Mr. Thomas Helbling Paulo A. Medas Martin Sommer
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Publication year: 2015
E-ISBN: 9781513507132
Subject: F416.22 oil & gas industry
Keyword: Oil pricefuel taxes and subsidiesfiscal vulnerabilitiesexternal vulnerabilitiesexchange rate regime
Language: ENG
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Description
The sharp drop in oil prices is one of the most important global economic developments over the past year. The SDN finds that (i) supply factors have played a somewhat larger role than demand factors in driving the oil price drop, (ii) a substantial part of the price decline is expected to persist into the medium term, although there is large uncertainty, (iii) lower oil prices will support global growth, (iv) the sharp oil price drop could still trigger financial strains, and (v) policy responses should depend on the terms-of-trade impact, fiscal and external vulnerabilities, and domestic cyclical position.