Affluence, Austerity and Electoral Change in Britain

Author: Paul Whiteley; Harold D. Clarke; David Sanders  

Publisher: Cambridge University Press‎

Publication year: 2013

E-ISBN: 9781107439436

P-ISBN(Paperback): 9781107024243

Subject: D Political and Legal

Keyword: 政治、法律

Language: ENG

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Affluence, Austerity and Electoral Change in Britain

Description

Affluence, Austerity and Electoral Change in Britain investigates the political economy of party support for British political parties since Tony Blair led New Labour to power in 1997. Using valence politics models of electoral choice and marshalling an unprecedented wealth of survey data collected in the British Election Study's monthly Continuous Monitoring Surveys, the authors trace forces affecting support for New Labour during its thirteen years in office. They then study how the recessionary economy has influenced the dynamics of party support since the Conservative–Liberal Democrat Coalition came to power in May 2010 and factors that shaped voting in Britain's May 2011 national referendum on changing the electoral system. Placing Britain in comparative perspective with cross-national survey data gathered in the midst of the worst recession since the 1930s, the authors investigate how the economic crisis has affected support for incumbent governments and democratic politics in over twenty European countries.

Chapter

Plan of the book

2 Tony’s politics

Making political choices, 1997-2005

The dynamics of party support, 1997-2007

Explaining the decline in Labour support

Explaining changing fundamentals

Conclusion: Tony’s politics reconsidered

3 Gordon’s politics

Party choice, 2005-2010

Party support, 2005-2010

Party support dynamics, 2007-2010

Conclusions: economic blues for Mr Brown

4 ‘I agree with Nick’

Towards the official campaign

Close to home: the Ground War

Modelling the Ground War

Modelling the Air War

Campaigning, turnout and party choice

The campaign and leader images

Conclusion: campaigning and electoral choice in 2010

5 Making political choices

Rival models revisited

Party choice in 2010

Context and party choice

Modelling context and party choice

The political economy of recession

Conclusion: political choices in context

6 Bearish Britain

The Coalition Agreement

Economic and fiscal performance since 2010

The objective and subjective economies

The subjective economy and party support in an era of austerity

Conclusion: party support in an age of austerity

7 Choosing how to choose

The referendum campaign

Modelling referendum choice

The benefits and costs of AV

Heuristics and political knowledge

Analyzing referendum voting

Party leader and political knowledge interactions

A public retrospective on the referendum

What if? The consequences of AV

Conclusion: the AV referendum reconsidered

8 Performance politics and subjective well-being

Subjective well-being, government and policy-making

Theoretical perspectives

Modelling policy outcomes and subjective well-being

Modelling subjective well-being

Modelling the dynamics of subjective well-being

Voting and subjective well-being

Conclusion: policy, politics and life satisfaction

9 Valence politics, austerity policies and electoral prospects

Crisis economics and party support in comparative perspective

Modelling satisfaction with government

Public reactions to austerity in Britain

Cut the public sector, occupy Britain

Bears bite

Conclusion: austerity policies and valence politics

Appendix A Design of the 2010 British election study

Appendix B Measurement

Key variables

Notes

Bibliography

Index

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