Description
This book is based on a lecture course to students specializing in the safety of technological processes and production.
The author focuses on three main problems in technological risks and safety: elements of reliability theory, the basic notions, models and methods of general risk theory and some aspects of insurance in the context of risk management.
Although the material in this book is aimed at those working towards a bachelor's degree in engineering, it may also be of interest to postgraduate students and specialists dealing with problems related to reliability and risks.
Chapter
1.2. Reliability of renewable systems
1.2.1. Reliability of instantaneously renewable articles
1.2.3. Age and residual lifetime of an article
1.2.4. Reliability characteristics with regard to replacement time
1.3. Statistical analysis of reliability characteristics
1.3.1. Introductory notes
1.3.2. Observations and the plans of reliability trials
1.3.3. Statistical analysis of reliability characteristics for trials under the basic plan
1.3.4. Statistical estimation of the reliability characteristics and indexes for trials with renewable units
1.4. Structural reliability
1.4.1. System structure function
1.4.2. Monotone structures
1.4.3. Reliability of monotone systems from independent elements
1.4.4. Reliability function for monotone structures
1.5. System life tree and its structure function
1.5.2. An object structure scheme
1.5.3. An example: the auto engine structure scheme
1.5.4. Life tree and the system structure function
1.5.5. Calculation of the system reliability
1.5.6. System reliability function calculation
1.6. Non-renewable redundant systems
1.6.1. Basic redundancy means – terms
1.6.4. Markov process for system reliability investigations
1.6.5. Reliability properties of redundant systems
1.6.6. A unit warranty operating time calculation
1.7. Renewable redundant systems
1.7.2. Equations for probabilities of the system states
1.7.3. Steady state probabilities: system failure probability
1.7.4. Reliability function for renewable systems
1.8. Bibliographical comments
1.8.6. Sections 1.6 and 1.7
2.1. Risk: notion and measurement
2.1.1. Introductory notes
2.2. Models of damage value
2.2.1. Introductory remarks
2.2.2. Simple damage models
2.2.3. Compound damages: methods of investigation
2.2.4. Moments of compound damages
2.2.5. Models of compound damages
2.3. Methods of risk analysis
2.3.1. Introductory remarks
2.3.2. Methodology of risk analysis
2.3.3. Risk tree construction
2.3.5. Risk tree analysis
2.4. Bibliographical comments
3.1. Insurance of risks and risk of insurance
3.1.1. Introductory remarks
3.1.3. Risk insurance models
3.1.4. Basic risk insurance problems
3.2. Some notions and methods of financial mathematics
3.2.1. Principal notion of financial mathematics
3.2.3. Compound interests
3.2.4. Cash flows and the financial rents
3.3. Short-time insurance model investigation
3.3.1. Introductory remarks
3.3.2. Calculation of the individual claim indexes
3.3.3. Exact calculation of summary claim characteristics
3.3.4. Normal asymptotic of summary claim distribution
3.3.5. Poisson asymptotic of summary claim distribution
3.3.6. Calculation of insurance basic characteristics
3.4. Long-time insurance model investigation
3.4.1. Introductory remarks
3.4.2. The basic parameters of long-time insurance contracts
3.4.3. Insurance annuity analysis
3.4.4. The net-premium calculation
3.4.5. Insurance load calculation
3.5. Bibliographical comments
3.5.3. Sections 3.3 and 3.4
Appendix 1: Distributions
Appendix 2: Data for Examples and Exercises
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