How Voters Decide :Information Processing in Election Campaigns ( Cambridge Studies in Public Opinion and Political Psychology )

Publication subTitle :Information Processing in Election Campaigns

Publication series :Cambridge Studies in Public Opinion and Political Psychology

Author: Richard R. Lau; David P. Redlawsk  

Publisher: Cambridge University Press‎

Publication year: 2006

E-ISBN: 9780511222993

P-ISBN(Paperback): 9780521848596

Subject: D Political and Legal

Keyword: 政治、法律

Language: ENG

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How Voters Decide

Description

This book attempts to redirect the field of voting behavior research by proposing a paradigm-shifting framework for studying voter decision making. An innovative experimental methodology is presented for getting 'inside the heads' of citizens as they confront the overwhelming rush of information from modern presidential election campaigns. Four broad theoretically-defined types of decision strategies that voters employ to help decide which candidate to support are described and operationally-defined. Individual and campaign-related factors that lead voters to adopt one or another of these strategies are examined. Most importantly, this research proposes a new normative focus for the scientific study of voting behavior: we should care about not just which candidate received the most votes, but also how many citizens voted correctly - that is, in accordance with their own fully-informed preferences.

Chapter

What We Can Add to the Understanding of the Vote Decision

Overview of the Remainder of the Book

2 A New Theory of Voter Decision Making

HUMAN COGNITION AND ITS LIMITS

Coping with Cognitive Limits

Simplifying Evaluations

Simplifying Choice

DECISION STRATEGIES

MEASURING INFORMATION SEARCH

The Content of Information Search

The Process of Information Search

Matching Information Search to Decision Strategy

REMAINING VARIABLES IN OUR FRAMEWORK FOR STUDYING THE VOTE DECISION

Political Sophistication or Expertise

Campaign Factors

The Perceived "Nature" of the Decision Task

Memory

Candidate Evaluation and the Vote Choice

Distinguishing Evaluation and Choice

CONSEQUENCES OF DECISION STRATEGIES: THE "SO WHAT?" QUESTION

3 Studying Voting as a Process

PROCESS-TRACING METHODOLOGIES FOR STUDYING DECISION MAKING

Process Tracing and the Study of Voting Behavior

Shortcomings of the Standard Methodology for Studying Election Campaigns

A DYNAMIC PROCESS-TRACING METHODOLOGY

The Campaign Simulation

WHY CONDUCT EXPERIMENTS?

Experimental Manipulations

INTERNAL VERSUS EXTERNAL VALIDITY

External Validity of the Dynamic Information Board

Experimental Realism

Subjects

Evidence of the Generalizability of Our Experimental Data

CONCLUSION

4 What Is Correct Voting?

But What Is a "Correct" Voting Decision?

Determining "Correct" Vote Choices in Our Mock Election Studies

An Alternative "Normative-Naive" Measure of Correct Voting

RESULTS

Vote Choice

Predicting Correct Voting

Further Validation of the Normative--Naive Candidate Preference Measure

An Application to American Presidential Elections

IMPLICATIONS

Part II Information Processing

5 What Voters Do – A First Cut

HOW MUCH INFORMATION DID VOTERS GATHER?

Primary Campaign

General Election Campaign

WHAT KINDS OF INFORMATION DID VOTERS GATHER? THE CONTENT OF SEARCH

MEMORY

DECISION STRATEGIES

Depth of Search

Comparability of Search Across Candidates

Sequence of Search

Operationalizing Decision Strategies

SUMMARY

6 Individual Differences in Information Processing

POLITICAL SOPHISTICATION

Control Variables

RESULT

Content of Information Search

Information Search

Decision Strategies

MEMORY

SUMMARY

7 Campaign Effects on Information Processing

Number of Candidates Running in an Election

Ideological Distinctiveness of Candidates in an Election

Fit with Partisan Stereotypes

Is the Candidate Supported in the Primary Running in the General Election?

Campaign Resources

Timing of Political Advertising

Conclusion

a reconsideration of what we have learned so far

Part III. Politics

8 Evaluating Candidates

ON-LINE VERSUS MEMORY-BASED EVALUATION

EVALUATION VERSUS CHOICE

IS CANDIDATE EVALUATION PURELY ON-LINE?

Building an On-line Evaluation Counter

Memory

Assessing Global Candidate Evaluation

Evaluating Primary Election Candidates

Evaluating General Election Candidates

DECISION STRATEGIES AND GLOBAL EVALUATION

IS EVALUATION THE SAME AS THE VOTE?

PREDICTING DEFECTION FROM ON-LINE EVALUATION

WHY MEMORY MATTERS

CONCLUSION

9 Voting

WHO WON?

VOTE CHOICE IN THE PRIMARY ELECTION

VOTE CHOICE IN THE GENERAL ELECTION

PREDICTING PARTISAN DEFECTION

CONCLUSION

10 Voting Correctly

HOW OFTEN DO VOTERS GET IT RIGHT?

BASELINE MODEL

A SLIGHT ASIDE: CORRECT VOTING IN RECENT U.S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS

INFORMATION SEARCH AND DECISION STRATEGIES

PRESSING A BIT HARDER FOR RATIONAL DECISION MAKING

MEMORY

CONCLUSION

11 Political Heuristics

OPERATIONALIZING HEURISTIC USE

DO ALL VOTERS UTILIZE POLITICAL HEURISTICS?

Pressing a Little More: Is "Information Acquisition" the Same Thing as “Heuristic Use”?

Is Political Sophistication Related to Heuristic Use?

When Are Heuristics Employed? Situational Factors and Heuristic Use

Decision Strategies and Use of Political Heuristics

Effect of Political Heuristics on Correct Voting

CONCLUSION

Part IV Conclusion

12 A Look Back and a Look Forward

WHAT VOTERS DO

CORRECT VOTING

DIRECTIONS FOR FUTURE WORK

Appendix A. Detailed Examples of Decision Strategies in Action

COMPENSATORY STRATEGIES

Model 1: Rational Choice

Model 3: Fast and Frugal Decision Making (Take the Few Best Rule)

NONCOMPENSATORY STRATEGIES

Model 4: ``Intuitive" Semiautomated Heuristic-Based Decision Making

The Special Case of Model 2: Socialized Attitudes and Cognitive Consistency

SUMMARY

Appendix B. How the Dynamic Information Board Works

THE SPECIAL PROBLEM OF PARTY, POLLS, AND ENDORSEMENTS

Appendix C. Overview of Experimental Procedures

SUBJECTS

EXPERIMENTAL PROCEDURE

THE COMPETING PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES

Appendix D. Detailed Decision Scripts

Appendix E. Calculating the On-line Evaluation Counter

References

Index

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