Chapter
Stochastic process models for juror decision making
Cognitive approaches to juror judgment
What is missing from this book?
Appendix A Abbreviated version of stimulus trial Commonwealth v. Johnson
Appendix B Abbreviated version of stimulus trial Commonwealth v. Bryant
2 Some steps between attitudes and verdicts
The paradox of individual differences
A generic model for jury decision making
Research on the relationship between attitudes toward capitalpunishment and juror decision making
Attitudes as individual differences
'Empirical research on the impact of attitudes on juror decisions
Summary of research on juror's predeliberation decisions
Individual differences in juror behavior in deliberation
3 The influence of outcome information and attitudes on juror decision making in search and seizure cases
Civil suits to deter illegal searches
Hindsight phenomena in legal decision making
The impact of outcome information on judgments
The role of attitudes in juror decision making
The impact of the seriousness of the crime on verdictjudgments
4 Algebraic models of juror decision processes
The basic weighted average model
Evidence integration processes
The sequential averaging model
Assessment of juror and judge applications of the standardof proof and presumption of innocence
The algebraic modeling research paradigms and theirrelation to the trial jurors' task
Discussion and conclusions
5 Stochastic models of juror decision making
The Thomas and Hogue Poisson process model
Standard of proof instructions
Victim's attractiveness and conduct
Strength of evidence in prior cases
6 Formal and empirical research on cascaded inference in jurisprudence
Formal research: Foundations
Formal studies: Results and observations
On several special types of evidence
Empirical studies: Background, objectives, and methods
Background and specific objectives
Methodological choices and tradeoffs
Empirical studies: Results and observations
Consistency among alternative methods for assessing the probativevalue of evidence
Probative assessment characteristics for different inference structures
7 Argument structuring and evidence evaluation
Temporal and relational structuring
Study of the process of structuring inferential argument
Empirical research: Inference from structured arguments
Some conclusions about argument structuring and evidenceevaluation
About the argument structuring process itself
Argument structuring and the factfinder
8 The story model for juror decision making
Learning verdict definitions
Temporal relations between stages
Empirical evidence for the story model
Predicting importance ratings and memory for evidence
Predicting decisions and confidence in decisions
Comparisons with other models
9 Notes on the sampling of stimulus cases and the measurement of responses in research on juror decision making
10 Sausages and the law: Juror decisions in the much larger justice system
11 A rational game theory framework for the analysis of legal and criminal decision making
Understanding juries for their own sake
Understanding beyond juries
Understanding legal systems
13 Two conceptions of the juror
How do meters respond to evidence?
Movements of single meters to successive pieces of evidence
How is evidence integrated from two or more meters?
Some comments on the story model
14 A mathematician comments on models of juror decision making
The role of mathematical models