In Pursuit of the Lone Wolf Terrorist: Investigative Economics and New Horizons for the Economic Analysis of Terrorism

Author: Peter J. Phillips (University of Southern Queensland   Queensland   Australia)  

Publisher: Nova Science Publishers, Inc.‎

Publication year: 2013

E-ISBN: 9781628080087

Subject: D815.5 international security issues, international terrorism, counter - narcotics activities in the

Keyword: Terrorism

Language: ENG

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Description

This book explores new horizons for the economic analysis of terrorism with an innovative combination of economics and offender profiling. The book is aimed at contributing to law enforcement efforts to pre-empt and pursue the lone wolf terrorist. By taking the economic analysis of terrorism back to its core concepts of opportunities and choices and by insisting that all results be both computable and relevant to the investigative process, the author examines lone wolf terrorism from a unique perspective that yields new insights into the nature of the lone wolf terrorists opportunities and choices to inflict human tragedy. Not content with the task of delineating opportunities and choices, the author shows how the frameworks he has developed may be inverted and deployed in the pursuit of the lone wolf terrorist if efforts to pre-empt the lone wolf terrorist have failed. This book is groundbreaking for both the type of economics analysis it presents and its conscious break with several long-held traditions of terrorism studies. Both academics and law enforcement practitioners will find the authors analysis stimulating, confronting and, above all, applicable to the investigative processes designed to pre-empt or pursue a single violent offender who aims to etch a graphic biography of violence into the public consciousness.

Chapter

Chapter 2 THE (TRADITIONAL) ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF TERRORISM

THE TRADITIONAL APPROACH TO THE ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF TERRORISM

BECKER’S MODEL OF CRIME

EHRLICH’S IMPORTANT CONTRIBUTION

INCENTIVES AND THE ADVANTAGES OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

TERRORISM AND TERRORIST BEHAVIOUR: FOUNDATIONS

TRANSNATIONAL TERRORISM AND THE EMERGENCE OF THE ‘ECONOMICS OF TERRORISM’

A NOTE ON THE USE OF MONETARY EQUIVALENTS

CONCLUDING REMARKS

Chapter 3 THE RISK-REWARD TRADE-OFF AND THE STATISTICAL STRUCTURE OF THE TERRORISM CONTEXT

MEASURING RISK AND REWARD

INJURIES AND FATALITIES AND TERRORISM

MEAN-VARIANCE EXPECTED UTILITY ANALYSIS

NOTES ON SPECIFYING A FUNCTIONAL FORM FOR THE EXPECTED UTILITY FUNCTION

RISK PREFERENCE

CONCLUDING REMARKS

Chapter 4 THE ATTACK METHODS

CATEGORIES OF ATTACK METHODS

ATTACK METHODS AND HUMAN TRAGEDY

LONE WOLVES IN AMERICA

LONE WOLVES IN EUROPE

CONCLUDING REMARKS

Chapter 5 THE CORRELATION STRUCTURE

THE CASE OF PERFECT CORRELATION

THE CONSEQUENCES OF IMPERFECT CORRELATION

IMPOSSIBLE RISK-REWARD TRADE-OFF RELATIONSHIPS

THE HISTORICAL CORRELATION STRUCTURE OF ATTACK METHODS

CORRELATION STRUCTURE AND LAW ENFORCEMENT

CONCLUDING REMARKS

Chapter 6 THE LONE WOLF’S OPPORTUNITY SET AND CHOICES: THEORY

THE COMPLETE OPPORTUNITY SET: SINGLE ATTACK METHODS AND COMBINATIONS

THE EFFICIENT OPPORTUNITY SET

MORE ABOUT THE STATISTICAL STRUCTURE

CHOOSING FROM THE OPPORTUNITY SET

CONCLUDING REMARKS

Chapter 7 THE LONE WOLF’S OPPORTUNITIES: PRACTICE

COMPUTING THE LONE WOLF’S EFFICIENT SET: THE ‘SPECIALIST’ LONE WOLF

THE OPPORTUNITIES OF THE NON-SPECIALIST LONE WOLVES

THE OPPORTUNITIES AT DIFFERENT DEGREES OF SPECIALISATION

WHEN COMBINATION IS NOT POSSIBLE

CONCLUDING REMARKS

Chapter 8 THE LONE WOLF’S CHOICES: PRACTICE

VERY LOW RISK AVERSION: WITH COMBINATION OF ATTACK METHODS POSSIBLE

MODERATE RISK AVERSION: WITH COMBINATION OF ATTACK METHODS POSSIBLE

HIGH RISK AVERSION: WITH COMBINATION OF ATTACK METHODS POSSIBLE

CHOICE WHEN NO COMBINATION IS POSSIBLE

CONCLUDING REMARKS

Chapter 9 SUMMARY: THE LONE WOLF’S OPPORTUNITIES AND CHOICES

CONCLUDING REMARKS

PART TWO: THE LONE WOLF PROFILE

Chapter 10 OFFENDER PROFILING

OFFENDER PROFILING

HOW DOES PROFILING ‘WORK’?

CONCLUDING REMARKS

Chapter 11 THE ORGANISED/DISORGANISED TYPOLOGY AND OFFENDER RISK

ORGANISED/DISORGANISED TYPOLOGY AND THE PROFILING PROCESS

A CONSISTENCY PRINCIPLE

TOWARDS ECONOMIC PROFILING

CONCLUDING REMARKS

Chapter 12 INVESTIGATIVE ECONOMICS AND THE ANALYSIS OF LONE WOLF TERRORISM

THE ECONOMIC THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK: A SUMMARY

AN ALTERNATIVE OR COMPLEMENT TO THE ORGANISED/DISORGANISED TYPOLOGY

THE MORE RISK AVERSE LONE WOLF TERRORIST AND THE INFERENCES WE MAY DRAW

THE LESS RISK AVERSE LONE WOLF TERRORIST AND THE INFERENCES WE MAY DRAW

THE SERIAL LONE WOLF TERRORIST’S BEHAVIOUR OVER TIME

CONCLUDING REMARKS

Chapter 13 METESKY, KACZYNSKI AND FUCHS

THE MAD BOMBER

THE UNABOMBER

FRANZ FUCHS

RISK AND REWARD

CONCLUDING REMARKS

Chapter 14 ‘SPREE’ SHOOTERS: COMPLETING THE TYPOLOGY OF AMERICA’S LONE WOLF TERRORISTS

TIME CONCENTRATION AND ‘PLUNGING’

THE SPREE: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHOICES

ARRANGING THE LONE WOLF TERRORISTS IN OUR TYPOLOGY

CONCLUDING REMARKS

Chapter 15 THE CONCLUSION

THE ECONOMIC LOGIC OF MEANS AND ENDS

THE NEW HORIZON FOR THE ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF TERRORISM

REFERENCES

INDEX

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