Strategic Military Deception :Pergamon Policy Studies on Security Affairs

Publication subTitle :Pergamon Policy Studies on Security Affairs

Author: Daniel   Donald C.;Herbig   Katherine L.  

Publisher: Elsevier Science‎

Publication year: 2013

E-ISBN: 9781483190068

P-ISBN(Paperback): 9780080272191

Subject: E81 Beijing 100094;

Keyword: 军事理论,世界军事

Language: ENG

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Description

Strategic Military Deception explains the nature of deception, its processes, and the elements and conditions when a person used and succeeds at deception. The main focus of the book is the discussion of strategic military deceptions. The book is mainly a collection of research that seeks to develop a common idea of deception’s basic elements and its relationships.
The first part of the book contains such topics as the application of game, communication, organization, and systems theories. The second part of the book deals with the testing and validation of some of the theories of deception through a series of historical case studies. By analyzing a series of cases, the book identifies some recurring patterns in a group of deception cases. There are also chapters that focus on the use of deception during World War II.
The book will be a useful tool for military agents, game theorists, and psychoanalysts.

Chapter

THE PROCESS OF DECEPTION

THE PROCESS OF DECEPTION

FACTORS INFLUENCING THE LIKELIHOODOF DECEPTION

FACTORS INFLUENCING THE LIKELIHOODOF DECEPTION

FACTORS CONDITIONING THE SUCCESSOF DECEPTION

FACTORS CONDITIONING THE SUCCESSOF DECEPTION

CONCLUSION

CONCLUSION

NOTES

NOTES

Chapter 2. Cognitive Factors in Deception and Counterdeception

Chapter 2. Cognitive Factors in Deception and Counterdeception

BIASES IN PERCEPTION

BIASES IN PERCEPTION

COGNITIVE BIASES

COGNITIVE BIASES

PROBLEMS OF COUNTERDECEPTION

PROBLEMS OF COUNTERDECEPTION

NOTES

NOTES

Chapter 3. The Organizational Approach to Strategic Deception: Implications for Theory and Policy

Chapter 3. The Organizational Approach to Strategic Deception: Implications for Theory and Policy

THE ROLE OF INTELLIGENCE ORGANIZATIONS

THE ROLE OF INTELLIGENCE ORGANIZATIONS

INTERACTION STRUCTURES

INTERACTION STRUCTURES

COMMUNICATIONS THEORY

COMMUNICATIONS THEORY

PERCEPTION AND INFORMATION PROCESSING

PERCEPTION AND INFORMATION PROCESSING

SITUATIONAL CONTEXT

SITUATIONAL CONTEXT

CONCLUSION

CONCLUSION

APPENDIX

APPENDIX

NOTES

NOTES

Chapter 4. Deception within a Communications Theory Framework

Chapter 4. Deception within a Communications Theory Framework

THE COMMUNICATIONS THEORY PARADIGM

THE COMMUNICATIONS THEORY PARADIGM

REFINEMENT OF THE COMMUNICATIONS THEORY PARADIGM

REFINEMENT OF THE COMMUNICATIONS THEORY PARADIGM

NOTES

NOTES

Chapter 5. Deception in a Game Theoretic Framework

Chapter 5. Deception in a Game Theoretic Framework

TWO-PERSON ZERO SUM GAMES

TWO-PERSON ZERO SUM GAMES

THE PURPLE COMMANDER'S PROBLEM

THE PURPLE COMMANDER'S PROBLEM

ZERO SUM GAMES INVOLVING DECEPTION

ZERO SUM GAMES INVOLVING DECEPTION

CONCLUDING REMARKS

CONCLUDING REMARKS

MATHEMATICAL APPENDIX

MATHEMATICAL APPENDIX

NOTES

NOTES

Chapter 6. A Systems View of Deception

Chapter 6. A Systems View of Deception

THE MODEL

THE MODEL

ON THE NATURE OF BEHAVIOR

ON THE NATURE OF BEHAVIOR

SYSTEM VARIABLES

SYSTEM VARIABLES

FEEDBACK

FEEDBACK

GOAL SEEKING

GOAL SEEKING

DECEPTIVE METHODS

DECEPTIVE METHODS

UNMASKING DECEPTIONS

UNMASKING DECEPTIONS

CONCLUSION

CONCLUSION

NOTES

NOTES

Chapter 7. Prolegomenon to a Theory of Counterdeception

Chapter 7. Prolegomenon to a Theory of Counterdeception

THE PREDICTION PROBLEM

THE PREDICTION PROBLEM

THE UNIQUE CASE

THE UNIQUE CASE

CAUSALITY AND THE UNIQUE CASE

CAUSALITY AND THE UNIQUE CASE

THE NARRATIVE AS A METAPHOR

THE NARRATIVE AS A METAPHOR

THE ARMAMENTARIUM OF STRATEGIC INTERACTION

THE ARMAMENTARIUM OF STRATEGIC INTERACTION

THE CONDITIONS FOR SUCCESSFUL PREDICTION

THE CONDITIONS FOR SUCCESSFUL PREDICTION

CONCLUDING REMARKS

CONCLUDING REMARKS

NOTES

NOTES

PART 2: DECEPTION AS PRACTICED

PART 2: DECEPTION AS PRACTICED

Chapter 8. Understanding Strategic Deception: An Analysis of 93 Cases

Chapter 8. Understanding Strategic Deception: An Analysis of 93 Cases

THE DATA

THE DATA

DATA ANALYSIS

DATA ANALYSIS

CONCLUSIONS

CONCLUSIONS

NOTES

NOTES

Chapter 9. Barbarossa: German Grand Deception and the Achievement of Strategic and Tactical Surprise against the Soviet Union, 1940-1941

Chapter 9. Barbarossa: German Grand Deception and the Achievement of Strategic and Tactical Surprise against the Soviet Union, 1940-1941

SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

NOTES

NOTES

Chapter 10. An Eyewitness Report of the Fortitude Deception

Chapter 10. An Eyewitness Report of the Fortitude Deception

NOTES

NOTES

Chapter 11. Stalingrad and Belorussia: Soviet Deception in World War II

Chapter 11. Stalingrad and Belorussia: Soviet Deception in World War II

THE SOVIET VIEW OF SURPRISE AND DECEPTION

THE SOVIET VIEW OF SURPRISE AND DECEPTION

THE FIRST PERIOD

THE FIRST PERIOD

THE THIRD PERIOD

THE THIRD PERIOD

NOTES

NOTES

Chapter 12. Strategic Deception in the Chinese Civil War

Chapter 12. Strategic Deception in the Chinese Civil War

THE "FULLY EQUIPPED ARMY ON PARADE"

THE "FULLY EQUIPPED ARMY ON PARADE"

"PULLING A STUPID COW" (HUAI-HAI, FALL 1948)

"PULLING A STUPID COW" (HUAI-HAI, FALL 1948)

"END GAME" (SZECHUAN, AUTUMN 1949)

"END GAME" (SZECHUAN, AUTUMN 1949)

CONCLUSION

CONCLUSION

NOTES

NOTES

Chapter 13. The Theory and Practice of Chinese Military Deception

Chapter 13. The Theory and Practice of Chinese Military Deception

DECEPTION IN CHINESE LITERATURE AND HISTORY

DECEPTION IN CHINESE LITERATURE AND HISTORY

DECEPTION IN MAOIST DOCTRINE

DECEPTION IN MAOIST DOCTRINE

THE KOREAN WAR, 1950

THE KOREAN WAR, 1950

THE SINO-INDIAN BORDER CONFLICT, 1962

THE SINO-INDIAN BORDER CONFLICT, 1962

THE USSURI RIVER CONFRONTATION OF 1969

THE USSURI RIVER CONFRONTATION OF 1969

THE SINO-VIETNAMESE CONFRONTATION OF 1979

THE SINO-VIETNAMESE CONFRONTATION OF 1979

ANALYSIS AND CONCLUSION

ANALYSIS AND CONCLUSION

NOTES

NOTES

Chapter 14. Deception and the 1973 Middle East War

Chapter 14. Deception and the 1973 Middle East War

THE CONTEXT OF ARAB CULTURE AND POLITICS

THE CONTEXT OF ARAB CULTURE AND POLITICS

PREPARING FOR WAR

PREPARING FOR WAR

CRITICAL ZONE: CRISIS, PLAUSIBILITYAND MASTERFUL CONFUSION

CRITICAL ZONE: CRISIS, PLAUSIBILITYAND MASTERFUL CONFUSION

CONCLUSIONS

CONCLUSIONS

NOTES

NOTES

Chapter 15. Soviet Views of Deception and Strategic Surprise: TheInvasions of Czechoslovakia and Afghanistan

Chapter 15. Soviet Views of Deception and Strategic Surprise: TheInvasions of Czechoslovakia and Afghanistan

DECEPTION AND SURPRISE IN THE U.S.S.R.: STALIN'S LEGACY

DECEPTION AND SURPRISE IN THE U.S.S.R.: STALIN'S LEGACY

FROM STALIN TO BREZHNEV: REASSESSMENT OF SURPRISE AND DECEPTION

FROM STALIN TO BREZHNEV: REASSESSMENT OF SURPRISE AND DECEPTION

CZECHOSLOVAKIA: PLANNING THE SURPRISE INVASION

CZECHOSLOVAKIA: PLANNING THE SURPRISE INVASION

SURPRISE IN THE INVASION OF AFGHANISTAN

SURPRISE IN THE INVASION OF AFGHANISTAN

STRATEGIC SURPRISE AND DECEPTION

STRATEGIC SURPRISE AND DECEPTION

CONCLUSIONS

CONCLUSIONS

NOTES

NOTES

PART 3: CONCLUSIONS

PART 3: CONCLUSIONS

Chapter 16. Deception in Theory and Practice

Chapter 16. Deception in Theory and Practice

INCENTIVES FOR DECEPTION

INCENTIVES FOR DECEPTION

PROSPECTS FOR SUCCESS OR FAILURE

PROSPECTS FOR SUCCESS OR FAILURE

COUNTERDECEPTION

COUNTERDECEPTION

AREAS FOR FURTHER EXPLORATION

AREAS FOR FURTHER EXPLORATION

Index

Index

About the Editors and Contributors

About the Editors and Contributors

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