Business and Financial Models ( Strategic Success )

Publication series :Strategic Success

Author: Marsh Clive  

Publisher: Kogan Page Ltd‎

Publication year: 2013

E-ISBN: 9780749468279

P-ISBN(Paperback): 9780749468101

Subject: F275 Enterprise Financial Management

Keyword: 财政、金融

Language: ENG

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Description

With worked examples throughout and a range of online templates, Business and Financial Models explains the essential basics of planning, building and using business and financial models.

Chapter

1 STAGES IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A BUSINESS AND FINANCIAL MODEL

Scope

The fundamental question

A step-by-step approach

Skills required

Planning the model

Data quality

Tools

Summary

2 DEVELOPING THE RESEARCH QUESTION AND OUTPUT DEFINITION

The basic question

Output definitions, examples, financial outputs

Summary

3 VISUAL THINKING TO DEVELOP FUNDAMENTAL QUESTIONS

Challenging the traditional business model

New methods and approaches – a business model reflecting the world as it is today

Structured Visual Thinking (a trademark of Group Partners): principles for a dynamic world

An architectural approach to building a future

4D™ approach

Summary

4 INPUT DEFINITION

Basics of input definition

Important variables

Summary

5 SCENARIO IDENTIFICATION

Determining scenarios

Populating the spreadsheet with input values and formulae

Running different scenarios

Using Excel Scenario Manager for what-if analysis

Scenarios versus projections

Summary

6 BUILDING A SIMPLE MODEL

Process

Example

Data extraction using Excel pivot tables

Some reminders of best practice

Reasons for failure of a model and how to avoid them

Summary

7 USING CHARTS

Excel charts

Using charts to help concentrate on the most important variables in an organization

Charts for break-even analysis

Chart tools

Presenting data and charts to communicate clearly

Using Excel pivot charts to show extracted data

Summary

8 MODELLING BUDGETS

Planning and budgeting

Departmental budgets and variance analysis

Some key departmental budgets

Capital budgets

Summary

9 SALES BUDGETS

Sales budgets and forecasts are key to other budgets

Elements of a sales budget

Volume assumptions

Summary

10 PRODUCTION – MATERIAL, LABOUR AND DIRECT OVERHEAD BUDGETs

Production budget

Direct materials budget

Direct labour budget

Direct overhead budget

Gross margin and profit budget

Margin and profit sensitivity

Departmental budget spreadsheet

Summary

11 FIXED ASSETS AND DEPRECIATION

Accounting depreciation, straight line and reducing balance

Additions and disposals of assets

Tax depreciation (capital allowances in the UK)

Summary

12 MANAGING AND MODELLING CASH FLOW AND WORKING CAPITAL

The cash flow cycle

Working capital ratio

Optimal stock levels

Debtors

Cash models

Cash budget

Summary

13 INVESTMENT APPRAISAL MODELS

Relevant cash flow

Pay-back period

Return on capital

Accounting rate of return (ARR)

Discounted cash flow and net present value/internal rate of return

Capital rationing

Summary

14 THE COST OF CAPITAL

The average and the marginal costs of capital

Balancing equity and external borrowing

Risk and the cost of capital

Methods of determining the cost of equity

Significance of the cost of capital

Summary

15 BUSINESS VALUATION MODELS

The value of a business and building value

Methods of valuing a business

Who can value a business and what information do they require?

Examples of valuation methods and their appropriateness to valuation reasons

Earnings-based valuations

Cash flow valuation models

Discounted cash flow (DCF) method of valuation

Summary

16 PERFORMANCE INDICATORS

Dashboards

Key performance indicators (KPIs)

The integrated standard costing system

Activity-based costing (ABC)

Summary

17 MODELLING THE COMPANY BALANCE SHEET, P&L AND RATIO ANALYSIS

Prepare an Excel model

Analysis and financial ratios

Ratio analysis

Summary

18 FINANCIAL FUNCTIONS

Financial formulae and using Excel fx functions

Excel financial functions

Summary

19 BUILDING A BUSINESS MODEL

Modelling a start-up business

Opening balance sheet

Expected returns for risk – proprietors’ pay, bank interest

Forecast profit and loss statement and sales requirement

Required marketing and selling activity

Direct costs required

Building a model

Key indicators

Business plan

Summary

20 MODELLING PROJECTS

What is a project?

Critical path analysis (CPA)

CPA example

Risk and uncertainty

Gantt charts and resource planning

Modelling projects using Excel

Summary

21 INTEGRATION, COMPLEXITY AND BUSINESS MODELS

The level of integration required

Data and systems integration

Cloud computing

Summary

22 BUSINESS MODELS FOR THE GREEN ECONOMY

Future challenges and opportunities

Production processes

Demand for greener products and services

Investor expectations

Resourcing

Effects of climate change and other factors

Supply chains

Social responsibility

Changing models

Modelling green issues

Summary

Appendix 1 Excel shortcut commands

Appendix 2 Chart for business model build project

Appendix 3 Discounted cash flow tables

Index

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