Exchange Rate Parity for Trade and Development :Theory, Tests, and Case Studies

Publication subTitle :Theory, Tests, and Case Studies

Author: Pan A. Yotopoulos  

Publisher: Cambridge University Press‎

Publication year: 1995

E-ISBN: 9780511887666

P-ISBN(Paperback): 9780521482165

Subject: F830.73 & nbsp; & nbsp; & nbsp; & nbsp; & nbsp; & nbsp; & nbsp; & nbsp; & nbsp; translation and foreign international settlement

Keyword: 贸易经济

Language: ENG

Access to resources Favorite

Disclaimer: Any content in publications that violate the sovereignty, the constitution or regulations of the PRC is not accepted or approved by CNPIEC.

Exchange Rate Parity for Trade and Development

Description

This book extends recent theories of incomplete markets to investigate empirically the appropriate balance between the market and the state in the trade relations between developed and developing countries. The conclusion is that in an ideal world government intervention in foreign exchange and trade is necessary in developing countries in the early stages and inevitably decreases as development occurs. Rationing of foreign exchange prevents a 'soft currency distortion' that commonly afflicts developing countries and can turn comparative advantage trade into competitive devaluation trade, with severe losses of income and welfare. Yotopoulos finds that the level of underdevelopment narrowly circumscribes and conditions the extent to which free-market, free-trade, laissez-faire can be beneficial, contrary to the mainstream policy paradigm as currently applied. The analysis and tests draw on empirical research from seventy countries and four extended country studies to confirm the usefulness and validity of the theoretical framework.

Chapter

The neoclassical edifice

The salient ideas of the orthodox development paradigm and the theoretical grounding of the neoclassical system

The structuralist critique

Unequal exchange

Factoral terms of trade and the pivotal position of agriculture

Class structure and economic development

Conclusion

Appendix: North-South convergence in a Lewis-type model

3 Incomplete markets and the "new development economics"

Cases of incomplete markets

Capital goods markets

Credit markets

Insurance markets

Incomplete markets in foreign exchange

The systematic underpinning of market incompleteness in foreign exchange and trade: Ricardian productivity differentials

Incomplete exchange and trade in a quasi-Autralian model

Pitfalls and pay-offs of intervention in incomplete markets

Conclusion

Appendix: The Ricardo Principle

Part II Theory and empirical analysis

4 Market incompleteness in an open-economy LDC

A welfare model with tradables and nontradables

The closed economy

The open economy

Diagrammatics

The poor countries' Dutch disease

Dynamics

From nominal to real exchange rate: Is there an incomplete market?

Conclusion

Appendix: Constrained-equilibrium expenditure curve

5 The relationship between real and nominal exchange rates

Purchasing power parity and exchange rates

Measurement of real exchange rates

Absolute vs. relative purchasing power parity

External-terms-of-trade real exchange rates

Internal-terms-of-trade real exchange rates

Measurement of absolute purchasing power parity

Purchasing power parity prices and real exchange rates

Conclusion

Appendix: Extensions of purchasing power parity measurement

6 Empirical investigation of real exchange rates: Tradability and relative prices

The elements of tradability

International tradability and transaction costs

The empirical content of tradability

The criterion of tradability plus tradedness

The normalization procedure: A throwback to the law of one price?

Conclusion

7 An endogenous growth model of incomplete markets in foreign exchange

The structural model

The conventional endogenous growth models

An endogenous growth model with incomplete markets

Implementation of an endogenous growth framework

The dependent variable

The explanatory variables of primary interest

The stylized endogenous growth variables

The empirical analysis

Ordinary least squares results

Causality tests and alternative models

Causality: An interpretation of market incompleteness

Comparison with other studies

Why are the strong results surprising? Development policy failure and development politics failure

Conclusion

Appendix: Tables

8 Are devaluations possibly contractionary? A quasi-Australian model with tradables and nontradables

Review of the literature

A theoretical model

The model

Formal comparative statics

An empirical model of the pass-through

Diagrammatical definitions and measurement

Testable hypotheses and data

Empirical results

Conclusion

Appendix: The signs of the partial derivatives

Part III Successes and failures in development: Good/bad economics and governance

9 Japan: Overvaluation without rent-seeking

The aftermath of World War II

Overriding the foreign exchange and trade markets

Overvaluation of nominal exchange rate

Foreign exchange control and import policies

Export policies

Overriding the labor market and the role of domestic demand

Domestic demand

The unlimited supplies of labor and incomplete markets

Appropriate industrial policies

The role of the state

State-led capitalism

Administrative guidance

Conclusion: A nonrevisionist interpretation

10 The Philippines: Failure in policy and politics

The stage and the setting

Land concentration and land reform

Inadequate infrastructure

The basic policy regime

The policy tools

Persistent undervaluation of the exchange rate

Intervention policies for (or despite) undervaluation

Interventions for export-led industrialization

Interventions for export-led agricultural growth

Governance

The outcomes

Low productivity

Low labor-absorptive capacity

Low incomes

Conclusion

11 Financial integration and the refractory role of intervention: Uruguay and Taiwan

Agriculture

Taiwanese agriculture: The foundation of pluralistic development

Uruguay: Agricultural stagnation

Industrialization

Uruguay: The change in track and the spurts of growth

Taiwan: The train of industrialization and the locomotive of trade

Comparative evaluation of the growth in the real sector: The role of domestic demand

The tradable financial sector

Uruguay: The costs of asymmetric financial integration

Taiwan: Financial integration with exceptional circumstances

Conclusion

12 Summary, conclusions, and policy recommendations

Bibliography

Index

The users who browse this book also browse


No browse record.