Nations at War
：A Scientific Study of International Conflict
( Cambridge Studies in International Relations )
Publication subTitle ：A Scientific Study of International Conflict
Publication series ：Cambridge Studies in International Relations
Author： Daniel S. Geller; J. David Singer
Publisher： Cambridge University Press
Publication year： 1998
E-ISBN: 9780511824586
P-ISBN(Paperback): 9780521621199
Subject： E911 military mathematics
Keyword： 外交、国际关系
Language： ENG
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Nations at War
Description
Nations at War provides an explanation of war in international politics grounded on data-based, empirical research. The book classifies and synthesizes the research findings of over 500 quantitative analyses of war at the analytic level of the state, dyad, region, and international system. Because wars follow from political decisions, two basic decision-making models - the rational and the non-rational - are examined in relation to the explanatory framework of the volume. In addition, case analyses of two wars - the Iran/Iraq War (1980), and World War I (1914) - are provided as demonstrations of scientifically-based explanations of historical events. The primary structural factors responsible for the onset and seriousness of war are identified and the explanations are developed according to the scientific model of 'covering laws'. The conclusion presents a discussion of the potential for probabilistic conditional predictions of conflict within the context of war and peace studies.
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