CYCLONES: FORMATION, TRIGGERS AND CONTROL

CYCLONES: FORMATION, TRIGGERS AND CONTROL

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

CONTENTS

PREFACE

Chapter 1: Tropical cyclogenesis in wind shear: climatological relationships and physical processes

ABSTRACT

1. INTRODUCTION

2. PRIOR RESEARCH AND CURRENT UNDERSTANDING

3. THE CLIMATOLOGICAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN TC GENESIS AND WIND SHEAR

4. SENSITIVITY TO WIND SHEAR AS SEEN IN NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS

CONCLUSION

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

REFERENCES

Chapter 2: Analysis of Tropical Cyclone Activity In The Southern Hemisphere Using Observation And CGCM Simulation

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION

DATA AND MODEL

CLIMATOLOGY

VARIABILITY

SUMMARY

ACKNOWLEDGMENT

REFERENCES

Chapter 3: Synoptic and Climatic Aspects of Tropical Cyclogenesis In Western North Pacific

ABSTRACT

1. INTRODUCTION

2. PRECUSOR SYNOPTIC SIGNALS PRIOR TO CYCLOGENESIS

3. ORIGIN OF WNP SYNOPTIC-SCALE WAVE TRAINS AND EASTERLY WAVES

4. NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF TROPICAL CYCLOGENESIS

5. CLIMATIC CONTROL OF CYCLOGENESIS

6. PROJECTED FUTURE TC CHANGES IN NORTH PACIFIC

CONCLUSION

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

REFERENCES

Chapter 4: Variability of Typhoon Tracks and Genesis over The Western North Pacific

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION

HISTORY OF DETECTING TYPHOON TRACKS OVER THE WNP

INTRASEASONAL VARIABILITY

INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY

LONG-TERM VARIABILITY

SUMMARY

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

REFERENCES

Chapter 5: Reduction of Global Tropical Cyclone Frequency Due To Global Warming

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION

TC FREQUENCY CHANGES PROJECTED BY GCMS

WEAKENING OF TROPICAL CIRCULATION

PRECIPITATION CHANGE

MECHANISM OF THE REDUCTION OF GLOBAL TC FREQUENCY

REGIONAL TC FREQUENCY CHANGE

INCREASE OF INTENSE TC FREQUENCY

SUMMARY AND DISCUSSION

REFERENCES

Chapter 6: Estimation of Changes in Tropical Cyclone Intensities and Associated Precipitation Extremes Due To Anthropogenic Climate Change

Abstract

1.Introduction

2.Methodology

3.Case study

4.Conclusion

Acknowledgment

References

Chapter 7: Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclones to Large- Scale Environments in a Global Non-Hydrostatic Model With Explicit Cloud Microphysics

ABSTRACT

1. INTRODUCTION

2. METHODOLOGY

3. TC GENESIS, TRACK AND INTENSITY

4. RELATION BETWEEN TC ACTIVITY AND ENVIRONMENT

SUMMARY

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

REFERENCES

Chapter 8: Variability of Extratropical Cyclonic Activity in The Northern Hemisphere Associated With Global Processes in The Ocean-Atmosphere System

ABSTRACT

1. INTRODUCTION

2. PRINCIPAL INTERANNUAL TO MULTI-DECADAL SST MODES AND THEIR ATMOSPHERIC MANIFESTATIONS

3. METHOD AND DATA

4. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

CONCLUSION

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

REFERENCES

Chapter 9: Tropical Cyclone Simulation in A High-Resolution Atmosphere-Ocean Coupled General Circulation Model

ABSTRACT

1. INTRODUCTION

2. MODEL DESCRIPTION AND TC DETECTION

3. TROPICAL CYCLONES SIMULATED BY THE HIGH-RESOLUTION CGCM

4. ENVIRONMENTAL FIELDS SIMULATED BY THE HIGH-RESOLUTION CGCM

5. CLIMATOLOGICAL TC GENESIS FREQUENCY

6. SEASONAL CYCLE OF ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS

7. TC INTENSITY

SUMMARY AND DISCUSSION

REFERENCES

Chapter 10: Multi-Scale Dynamics of Tropical Cyclone Formations in an Equilibrium Simulation Using a Global Cloud-System Resolving Model

ABSTRACT

1. INTRODUCTION

2. METHODOLOGY

3. RESULT

CONCLUSION

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

REFERENCES

Chapter 11: A Prototype Quasi Real-time Iintra-Seasonal Forecasting of Tropical Convection Over the Warm Pool Region: A new challenge of global cloud-system-resolving model For a field campaign

ABSTRACT

1. INTRODUCTION

2. OVERVIEW OF QUASI-REAL-TIME FORECAST DURINGJAMSTEC'S PALAU2010 FIELD CAMPAIGN

3. AN EXAMPLE OF FORECAST - TROPICAL CYCLONE LAILA OVER THE INDIAN OCEAN

SUMMARY AND ISSUES

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

REFERENCES

Chapter 12: Projection of Future Tropical Cyclone Chacarterostoces Based on Statistical Model

Abstract

1.Introduction

2.Review of Future Tropical Cyclone Climatology

3.Review of Stochastic Tropical Cyclone Models

4.Projection of Future Tropical Cyclone Activity

5.Summary

Acknowledgment

References

INDEX