Coastal Disasters and Climate Change in Vietnam :Engineering and Planning Perspectives

Publication subTitle :Engineering and Planning Perspectives

Author: Thao   Nguyen Danh;Takagi   Hiroshi;Esteban   Miguel  

Publisher: Elsevier Science‎

Publication year: 2014

E-ISBN: 9780128004791

P-ISBN(Paperback): 9780128000076

P-ISBN(Hardback):  9780128000076

Subject: P4 Atmospheric science (Meteorology );X4 Disasters and Prevention

Language: ENG

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Description

Coastal Disasters and Climate Change in Vietnam is the first book to focus specifically on natural hazards and climate change in Vietnam. The book examines threats such as tropical cyclones, sea-level rise, flooding, erosion, and salinity intrusion, and their respective effects on coastal structures and environments. It also looks at crucial management and mitigation efforts, including breakwater design, irrigation systems, coastal dunes and dikes, and more.

The challenges faced by this country in the future will have important regional and global repercussions; areas such as the Mekong Delta produce a significant proportion of the world’s rice, and coastal impacts on this region will have far-reaching economic and public health effects. This book is an important source of information for government and local policy makers, environmental and climate scientists, and engineers.

  • Broad coverage of climate challenges specific to the region, including sea-level rise, storms, erosion, and more
  • Assessments of impact on, and effects of, economic development and port construction
  • Examination of public policy responses to climate change

Chapter

Introduction: Coastal Disasters and Climate Change in Vietnam

I.1 Need for Better Coastal Planning for Sustainable Coastal Development

I.2 Vietnamese Coasts and Coastal Disasters

I.3 Vulnerability of Vietnamese Coasts to Climate Change

I.4 Aim of This Book

References

1 Typhoon, Storm Surge and Coastal Erosion

1 Tropical Cyclones and Storm Surges in Southern Vietnam

1.1 Introduction

1.2 Tropical Cyclones in Vietnam

1.2.1 Review of Past Literature

1.2.2 Track Analysis Using JTWC Data Between 1951 and 2010

1.2.3 Tropical Cyclone Landfall Along the Coasts of Vietnam

1.3 Storm Surges in Vietnam

1.3.1 Review of Past Literature

1.3.2 Storm Surge Simulation

1.3.3 Verification of the Model

1.3.4 Estimation of Storm Surge Height

1.4 Discussion

1.5 Conclusions

References

2 Impacts of Typhoons on the Vietnamese Coastline: A Case Study of Hai Hau Beach and Ly Hoa Beach

2.1 Introduction

2.2 Typhoons and Their Impact

2.2.1 General

2.2.2 Wave Modeling

2.2.2.1 Maximum Wind Speed

2.2.2.2 Significant Wave Height

2.2.2.3 Peak Wave Frequency

2.2.3 Wave Height Reduction

2.2.4 Runup Model

2.2.5 Erosion Model

2.3 Typhoons in Vietnam

2.3.1 General

2.3.2 Hai Hau Beach

2.3.2.1 Storm Tracks

2.3.2.2 Storm Surge

2.3.2.3 Wave Climate

2.3.3 Ly Hoa Beach

2.3.3.1 Storm Tracks

2.3.3.2 Storm Surge

2.3.3.3 Wave Climate

2.4 Analysis of Typhoon Impact

2.4.1 Flooding

2.4.1.1 Hai Hau Beach

2.4.1.2 Ly Hoa Beach

2.4.2 Erosion

2.4.2.1 Hai Hau Beach

2.4.2.2 Ly Hoa Beach

2.5 Effects of Climate Change on Typhoons

2.5.1 Changes in Physical Properties of Typhoons

2.5.2 Consequences for the Coastal Areas of Vietnam

2.6 Concluding Remarks

Acknowledgments

References

3 Coastline and River Mouth Evolution in the Central Part of the Red River Delta

3.1 Introduction

3.2 Geography

3.3 Socioeconomic Conditions

3.4 Physical Setting and Hydrometeorological Parameters

3.4.1 Hydrology

3.4.2 Air Pressure and Wind Regime in Coastal Zone

3.4.3 Rainfall and Humidity Regimes

3.4.4 Marine Parameters

3.4.4.1 Tide

3.4.4.2 Typhoons and surges

3.4.4.3 Waves

3.4.4.4 Nearshore Currents

3.5 The History of RRD Evolution

3.6 Coastline and River Mouth Evolution in Central Part of the RRD

3.6.1 The Period from 1965 to 1989

3.6.1.1 Ba Lat Mouth

3.6.1.2 The Coastline Section from Giao Hai (Giao Thuy district–Nam Dinh Province) to Hai Chinh (Hai Hau district–Nam Dinh ...

3.6.1.3 The Coastline Section from Hai Chinh (Hai Hau district–Nam Dinh Province) to Thinh Long Town (Hai Hau district–Nam ...

3.6.2 The Period from 1991 to 2001

3.6.2.1 Ba Lat Mouth

3.6.2.2 The Coastline Section from Giao Hai (Giao Thuy district–Nam Dinh Province) to Hai Chinh (Hai Hau district–Nam Dinh ...

3.6.2.3 The Coastline Section from Hai Chinh (Hai Hau district–Nam Dinh Province) to Thinh Long Town (Hai Hau district–Nam ...

3.6.3 The Period from 2001 to 2010

3.6.3.1 Ba Lat Mouth

3.6.3.2 The Coastline Section from Giao Hai (Giao Thuy district–Nam Dinh Province) to Hai Chinh (Hai Hau district–Nam Dinh ...

3.6.3.3 The Coastline Section from Hai Chinh (Hai Hau district–Nam Dinh Province) to Thinh Long Town (Hai Hau district–Nam ...

3.6.4 Chronic Long-Term Erosion at Hai Hau Beach

3.7 Computations of Coastline Retreat at Hai Hau Beach

3.7.1 Data Input Description

3.7.1.1 Deep-Sea Wave Climate

3.7.1.2 Coastline and Nearshore Bathymetry

3.7.2 Modeling of Sediment Transport and Coastline Evolution

3.7.2.1 Preliminary Sediment Transport Calculation

3.7.2.2 Shoreline Evolution Calculation

3.7.3 Computational Grid Specifications

3.7.4 Simulation Procedure in SMS

3.7.5 Computation Results

3.7.5.1 Analyzing Deep-Sea Wave Climate

3.7.5.2 Potential Longshore Sediment Transport Obtained by SEDTRAN

3.7.5.3 Wave Climate Scenarios and STWAVE Modeling

3.7.5.4 GENESIS Model Calibration and Verification

3.8 Conclusions

Acknowledgments

References

4 Assessment of Vietnam Coastal Erosion and Relevant Laws and Policies

4.1 Introduction

4.2 Background

4.3 Present Status of Erosion

4.3.1 Northern Region (from Quang Ninh to Ninh Binh Province)

4.3.1.1 The Coast of Quang Ninh Province

4.3.1.2 The Coast of Red River–Thai Binh Delta (Hai Phong City and Thai Binh, Nam Dinh, and Ninh Binh Provinces)

4.3.2 Central Region (from Thanh Hoa to Binh Thuan Province)

4.3.2.1 The Coast of North-Central Area (Including Thanh Hoa, Nghe An, Ha Tinh, Quang Binh, Quang Tri, and Thua Thien–Hue P...

4.3.2.2 The Coast of South-Central Area (Including Da Nang, Quang Nam and Binh Dinh, Quang Ngai, Phu Yen, Khanh Hoa, Ninh T...

4.3.3 Southern Region (from Ba Ria–Vung Tau to Kien Giang Province)

4.4 Factors Influencing Coastal Erosion

4.4.1 Physical Factors

4.4.1.1 Geology

4.4.1.2 Waves and Currents

4.4.1.3 Tropical Cyclones (Storms)

4.4.1.4 Storm Surges

4.4.2 Human Factors

4.4.2.1 Embankments

4.4.2.2 Irrigation Works

4.4.2.3 Mining

4.4.2.4 Mangrove Deforestation

4.4.3 The Influence of SLR on Coastal Erosion

4.5 Major Solutions for Coastal Erosion

4.5.1 Structural Measures

4.5.2 Nonstructural Measures

4.6 Relevant Laws and Policies for Addressing Coastal Erosion

4.7 Conclusions

References

5 Area Coastal Protection and the Use of Bamboo Breakwaters in the Mekong Delta

5.1 Introduction

5.2 Coastal Protection

5.2.1 Area Coastal Protection

5.2.2 Mangroves

5.3 Bamboo Breakwaters

5.3.1 Field Measurements

5.3.2 Numerical Modeling

5.3.3 Physical Modeling

5.3.4 Spatial Arrangement

5.3.5 Bamboo T-Fence Design

5.3.6 Monitoring of Wave Attenuation and Sedimentation

5.3.7 Economic Considerations

5.4 Conclusions

Acknowledgments

References

6 Risk Analysis and Management in Coastal Regions of Vietnam

6.1 What Is Risk? Risk Definition and Presentation

6.2 Discussion of Risk Measures

6.2.1 Individual Risk

6.2.2 Societal Risk

6.2.3 Damage (Economic) Risk

6.3 Risk Evaluation and Acceptable Risk in the Coastal Zone of Vietnam

6.3.1 Present Risks due to All Hazards in Vietnam

6.3.2 National Acceptable Risk Levels: Safety Standard for Vietnam

6.3.3 Present Risk due to Traffic Accidents

6.3.4 Historical Loss of Life due to Storms and Floods in Vietnam

6.3.5 Individual Risk due to Coastal Flooding in Vietnam

6.3.6 Societal Risk due to Flood on a Country Level

6.3.7 Evaluation of Flood Risk on a National Scale

6.3.8 Mortality Estimation due to Coastal Flooding

6.3.9 Discussion

6.4 Case Study: Flood Risk Analysis of Nam Dinh Coastal Zone

6.4.1 Loss of Life Estimates for Nam Dinh Coastal Zone

6.4.2 Population in Flooded Areas and Evacuation

6.4.3 Mortality Estimation

6.4.4 Acceptable Flood Risk for Nam Dinh Coastal Zone

6.4.5 Discussion

6.5 Conclusions

References

7 Coastal Vulnerabilities in a Fast-Growing Vietnamese City

7.1 Introduction

7.2 Tourism-Induced Coastal Erosion at Mui Ne Town

7.3 Neighboring Coastal Communities Suffering from Coastal Erosion at Phan Thiet

7.4 SLR and Shoreline Retreat

7.5 TCs and Storm Surge

7.6 Discussion

7.7 Conclusions

References

2 Climate Change Induced Disasters

8 Climate Change in the Coastal Regions of Vietnam

8.1 Introduction

8.2 Present-Day Climate in Vietnam

8.2.1 Data and Methods

8.2.1.1 Data

8.2.1.2 Methods to Evaluate the Present Climate Trends

8.2.2 Mean Climate Features in Coastal Regions of Vietnam

8.2.3 Tropical Cyclones

8.2.4 Present Climate Trends

8.2.4.1 Temperature Trends

8.2.4.2 Rainfall Trends

8.2.5 Wind Trends

8.3 Future Climate Scenarios for Vietnam

8.3.1 Regional Climate Projections Methods

8.3.1.1 The Statistical Downscaling Approach

8.3.1.2 The Dynamical Downscaling Approach

8.3.2 The 1994 and 1998 Climate Change Scenarios

8.3.3 The 2009 Climate Change Scenarios

8.3.4 The Updated 2012 Climate Change Scenarios

8.4 Conclusions

References

9 Climate Change and Sea Level Rise in the Mekong Delta: Flood, Tidal Inundation, Salinity Intrusion, and Irrigation Adapta...

9.1 Introduction

9.2 Data, Methodology, and Evaluated Results of Simulated Scenarios

9.2.1 Present Flooding and Spring Tidal Innundation in the Mekong Delta

9.2.2 Present Salinity Intrusion in the Mekong Delta

9.2.3 National Climate Change and SLR Scenarios

9.2.4 Hydraulic Modeling for the Mekong Delta Using MIKE11

9.2.5 Evaluation of Simulated Results on Flood and Tidal Inundation Change in the Context of Climate Change

9.2.6 Evaluation of Simulated Results on Salinity Intrusion Change in the Context of Climate Change

9.3 Possible Adaptation Measures for Flood, Tidal Inundation, and Salinity Intrusion Control

9.3.1 Vietnam’s Water Resource Development Viewpoint

9.3.2 Case Study of a Deep Flooding Area in South Vam Nao (Cho Moi District, An Giang Province)

9.3.3 Case Study in a Coastal Zone Area with an Existing Ring Dike: The South Mang Thit Irrigation Project

9.3.4 Case Study of Salinity Intrusion Prevention with Mainstream River Sluice Gates

9.4 Conclusions and Recommendations

References

10 Possible Impacts of Seawater Intrusion and Strategies for Water Management in Coastal Areas in the Vietnamese Mekong Del...

10.1 Introduction

10.2 Water Resources

10.3 Impacts of Seawater Intrusion on Agriculture, Aquaculture, and Forestry in Coastal Plains of the VMD

10.4 Steps Forward: Is There Any Suitable Approach to Sustain the Development of Coastal Areas of the VMD?

10.5 Conclusion

References

11 Tropical Cyclone Damage to Coastal Defenses: Future Influence of Climate Change and Sea Level Rise on Shallow Coastal Ar...

11.1 Introduction

11.2 Coastal Protection Around Vietnam and the Southern Delta

11.2.1 The Mekong Delta

11.2.2 Coastal Revetments and Dikes in Vietnam

11.3 Design of Shallow Water Breakwaters and Coastal Revetments

11.3.1 Sea Level Rise Scenarios

11.3.2 Rubble Mound Breakwaters, Dikes, and Coastal Revetments

11.3.3 Van der Meer Formula

11.3.4 Limiting Breaker Height

11.3.5 Run-Up

11.3.6 Shallow Breakwater Sections and Parameters

11.4 Future Requirement for Shallow Water Coastal Defences

11.5 Case Study of Phan Thiet

11.6 Conclusions

References

12 Investigation on Floods in Can Tho City: Influence of Ocean Tides and Sea Level Rise for the Mekong Delta’s Largest City

12.1 Introduction

12.2 Methodology

12.2.1 Data Analysis

12.2.2 Field Survey

12.3 Results and Discussion

12.3.1 Long-Period Oscillations

12.3.2 Short-Period Oscillations

12.3.3 Frequency and Inundation Depth at the Riverbank

12.3.4 Influence of SLR

12.4 Conclusions

References

3 Tsunami

13 Tsunami Hazard in Vietnam

13.1 Results of Survey on Tsunamis at the Vietnamese Coast

13.2 Possible Tsunami Sources in the East Sea

13.2.1 Tectonic Plates in the East Sea

13.2.2 Manila Trench

13.2.3 Fault at 109°E–110°E

13.2.4 Faults at the Continental Shelf North of the East Sea

13.2.5 Areas with Potential Volcano Eruption and Submarine Landslide

13.2.6 Areas with Potential Submarine Landslides

13.3 Maximum Earthquakes in the East Sea

13.4 Evaluating Tsunami Hazard at the Coast of Vietnam

13.4.1 Numerical Model and Computational Area

13.4.2 Tsunami-Generating Earthquake Scenarios

13.5 Conclusions

Acknowledgments

References

14 Evaluating Tsunami Risk and Vulnerability Along the Vietnamese Coast

14.1 Introduction

14.2 Evaluation of Tsunami Risk in Vietnam

14.2.1 Historical Tsunami Events

14.2.2 Possible Tsunami Scenarios

14.3 Numerical Simulation of Tsunami Propagation

14.3.1 Geographical Backgrounds

14.3.2 Numerical Settings

14.3.3 Numerical Results

14.4 Tsunami Vulnerability in the Vietnamese Coast

14.4.1 Regional Tsunami Risk

14.4.2 Tsunami Vulnerability Analysis

14.4.2.1 Long Areas of Low-Lying Grounds

14.4.2.2 Lack of Past Experience

14.4.2.3 Underdeveloped Tsunami Mitigation Measures

14.5 Conclusions

References

15 Storm Surge and Tsunami Awareness and Preparedness in Central Vietnam

15.1 Introduction

15.2 Field Surveys

15.3 Results

15.4 Discussion

15.5 Conclusions

Acknowledgments

References

4 Disaster Impacts, Management and Policies

16 Economic Growth and Climate Change Challenges to Vietnamese Ports

16.1 Introduction

16.2 Geography and Population Size

16.2.1 Geographical Zones

16.2.2 Population Growth

16.2.3 Population Distribution

16.3 Socioeconomic Development

16.3.1 Current Development Trends

16.3.2 Economic Structure

16.3.3 Future Population Growth and GDP Projections

16.4 Seaport System in Vietnam

16.5 Ports and Climate Change

16.6 Conclusion

References

17 Mainstreaming Climate Change Adaptation into Vietnamese Development as a New Policy Arrangement

17.1 Introduction

17.2 Mainstreaming CCA into Development Based on the PAA

17.3 Mainstreaming CCA into Development on Three Levels in Vietnam

17.3.1 Mainstreaming at the Macro Level

17.3.2 Mainstreaming at the Meso Level

17.3.3 Mainstreaming at the Micro Level

17.4 Successful Mainstreaming Through the MPD

17.5 Conclusions

References

18 Environmental Displacement in Vietnam

18.1 Introduction

18.2 Sea-Level Rise and Displacement

18.3 Environmental Displacement

18.3.1 Calls for a New Convention to Protect International “Environmental Refugees”

18.3.2 Internal Environmental Displacement

18.4 Vietnamese Migration Policy and Environmental Displacement

18.5 Migration and Environmental Factors in Vietnam

18.6 Conclusions

List of Abbreviations

References