Stochastic Modelling of Drinking Water Treatment in Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment ( KWR Watercycle Research Institute Series )

Publication series :KWR Watercycle Research Institute Series

Author: Patrick W. M. H. Smeets  

Publisher: IWA Publishing‎

Publication year: 2010

E-ISBN: 9781780401591

Subject: TU991.25 drinking water disinfection, killing aquatic organisms

Keyword: 工业技术

Language: ENG

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Stochastic Modelling of Drinking Water Treatment in Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment

Description

Special Offer: KWR Drinking Water Treatment Set - Buy all five books together and save a total £119! 


Safe drinking water is a basic need for all human beings. Preventing microbial contamination of drinking water is of primary concern since endemic illness and outbreaks of infectious diseases can have significant social and economic consequences. Confirming absence of indicators of faecal contamination by water analysis only provides a limited verification of safety. By measuring pathogenic organisms in source water and modelling their reduction by treatment, a higher level of drinking water safety can be verified. 

This book provides stochastic methods to determine reduction of pathogenic microorganisms by drinking water treatment. These can be used to assess the level and variability of drinking water safety while taking uncertainty into account. The results can support decisions by risk managers about treatment design, operation, monitoring, and adaptation. Examples illustrate how the methods can be used in water safety plans to improve and secure production of safe drinking water. 

More information about the book can be found on the Water Wiki in an article written by the author here: http://www.iwawaterwiki.org/xwiki/bin/view/Articles/Quantifyingmicro-organismremovalforsafedrinkingwatersupplies 


Chapter

Chapter 1: Introduction

HISTORY OF MICROBIALLY SAFE DRINKING WATER

STATE OF THE ART OF QMRA IN 2002

Treatment assessment for QMRA

Distribution of pathogens in water

Treatment variation and rare events

Correlation between treatment steps

Direct assessment of pathogens in drinking water

QMRA in drinking water guidelines and legislation

QMRA: ITS VALUE FOR RISK MANAGEMENT

Complying with health targets

Quantifying normal events and special events

Setting critical limits

Designing monitoring programs

Preparing corrective actions

Treatment design: comparing alternatives

FOCUS OF THIS BOOK

APPROACH OF THE PRESENTED STUDY

Catchment to Tap System (CTS)

The treatment assessment framework

REFERENCES

Chapter 2: A stochastic pathogen reduction model for full-scale treatment

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Case study system

Microbial monitoring

Pathogen reduction model

Process model for ozonation

Point estimate assessment

Stochastic assessment

Approaches

RESULTS

Microbial monitoring results

Approach 1: Point estimate

Approach 2: Pathogen data

Approach 3: Indicator organism data

Approach 4: Treatment modelling

DISCUSSION

Point estimate versus stochastic assessment

Pathogen versus indicator organism

Use of process models

Uncertainty of the assessment

CONCLUSIONS

REFERENCES

Chapter 3: How can the UK statutory Cryptosporidium monitoring be used for quantitative risk assessment of Cryptosporidium in drinking water?

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION

METHODS

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

Overview of monitoring results

QMRA based on treated water monitoring

Cryptosporidium removal

Design and operation

Accumulation

Peaks in source water

Short treatment failure

Reduction related to microbial density

Modelling treatment in QMRA

CONCLUSIONS

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

REFERENCES

Chapter 4: Inactivation of Escherichia coli by ozone under bench-scale plug flow and full-scale hydraulic conditions

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Bench-scale dissolved ozone plug flow reactor

Full-scale installation

Microbial methods

Ozone analysis

Experimental procedures

Hydraulic model of the DOPFR

Ozone profile calculations

Disinfection calculations

RESULTS

Hydraulic model of the DOPFR

Hydraulic model of the full-scale installation

Ozone decay

E. coli inactivation in the DOPFR

E. coli inactivation at full-scale

DISCUSSION

E. coli inactivation in literature

Comparing DOPFR and full-scale inactivation

T10 and CSTR calculations for E. coli inactivation in full-scale plant

Signifi cance for water treatment

CONCLUSIONS

REFERENCES

Chapter 5: Improved methods for modelling drinking water treatment in quantitative microbial risk assessment; a case study of Campylobacter reduction by filtration and ozonation

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION

METHODS

Case description

Microbial analysis

Non-parametric MPN bootstrapping

Non-parametric validation of treatment efficacy

Parametric extrapolation of bootstrap samples

Non parametric treatment model

Parametric treatment model

Risk calculation

RESULTS

Microbial monitoring

Methods to present distribution of concentrations

Non-parametric treatment model

Parametric treatment model

Parametric model of total chain

Modelled risk of infection

DISCUSSION

CONCLUSIONS

REFERENCES

Chapter 6: On the variability and uncertainty in quantitative microbial risk assessment of drinking water

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION

METHODS

Statistical methods

Monitoring data

RESULTS

Treatment performance assessment

Optimised method

Currently applied date method

Mean in/out method

Yearly variability of treatment performance

Validity of the calibrated stochastic treatment model

Use of surrogate organisms

DISCUSSION

Treatment assessment

Stochastic model calibration

Stochastic model applications

CONCLUSIONS

REFERENCES

Chapter 7: Practical applications of quantitative microbial risk assessment for water safety plans

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION

METHODS

RESULTS

Compliance with health-based targets

Including uncertainty of log credits

Reducing uncertainty of log credits with site specific information

Including uncertainty of disinfection modelling

Including site specific variability in disinfection modelling

Modelling improvements of disinfection processes

Verification of treatment efficacy

Design of microbial monitoring

Design of process monitoring

Operation of treatment

Setting critical limits

Preparing corrective actions

CONCLUSIONS

REFERENCES

Chapter 8: General discussion

INTRODUCTION

COMBINING INFORMATION IN THE TREATMENT FRAMEWORK

INCLUDING VARIABILITY AND UNCERTAINTY BY STOCHASTIC MODELLING

MICROBIAL MONITORING OF DRINKING WATER

PROCESS MODELLING FOR QMRA

QUANTIFYING TREATMENT EFFICACY USING MICROBIAL MONITORING

ACCURACY OF STOCHASTIC TREATMENT MODELLING

APPLICATIONS OF QMRA IN THE WSP

System assessment

Risk prioritisation

Design monitoring

Setting critical limits

Corrective actions

IMPLICATIONS FOR THE DRINKING WATER INDUSTRY

CONSIDERATIONS FOR THE REGULATORS

Choice of QMRA method

Selecting pathogens

Dose-response

Health effect and severity weight

Guidance by the legislator

FUTURE RESEARCH

Process models

Indexing new pathogens

Interaction between processes

REFERENCES

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