An empirical strategy for applying VAR model to the analysis of macroeconomic responses

Author: Park Namkyu   Jeong Dongbin  

Publisher: Inderscience Publishers

ISSN: 1471-8197

Source: International Journal of Innovation and Learning, Vol.9, Iss.2, 2011-02, pp. : 163-183

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Abstract

The analysis of business cycle performed in this paper is based on the past 24 years' macroeconomic data in Korea. The three major economic variables – gross domestic product, consumer price index, and exchange rate – have been considered for the Korean business cycle analysis using vector autoregression (VAR) model. Some empirical strategies for the analysis are also suggested for the purpose of building an appropriate VAR model based on the real market and global economic areas. Using the VAR model, macroeconomic responses to the three variable shocks were investigated using the historical data in Korea.