Senate voting patterns on the 1991 extension of the fast-track trade procedures: Prelude to NAFTA

Author: Kahane L.H.  

Publisher: Springer Publishing Company

ISSN: 0048-5829

Source: Public Choice, Vol.87, Iss.1-2, 1996-04, pp. : 35-53

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Abstract

In 1991 then-President George Bush requested an extension of fast-track procedures from Congress for the primary purpose of negotiating a North American Free Trade Agreement. This paper uses an econometric model to test the importance of three themes related to NAFTA that surfaced during Senate debates over whether to approve the request, that of employment effects, environmental effects and the impact on immigration from Mexico. The empirical results show that expected job gains and losses were significant in explaining Senate voting patterns on fast-track extension. Immigration was found to be somewhat important, but environmental issues were not found to statistically significant. In addition, the impact of organized labor and political ideology as proxied by political party were found to be important factors that shaped Senate voting patterns on fast-track.