Towards a New Normal: How Different Paths of US Monetary Policy Affect the World Economy

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc

E-ISSN: 1468-0300|391-5026|3|409-418

ISSN: 0391-5026

Source: ECONOMIC NOTES, Vol.391-5026, Iss.3, 2015-11, pp. : 409-418

Disclaimer: Any content in publications that violate the sovereignty, the constitution or regulations of the PRC is not accepted or approved by CNPIEC.

Previous Menu Next

Abstract

This note examines the impact of US monetary policy tightening on global output and consumer prices. We assess different paths of monetary policy normalization based on expectations of members and participants of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the US Federal Reserve's policy‐making body. In the medium term, we find considerable negative effects on world GDP but only moderate effects on international prices. These negative spillovers are not confined to emerging economies but tend to carry over to other industrialized economies as well.