Publisher: Cambridge University Press
E-ISSN: 1469-2112|43|4|877-887
ISSN: 0007-1234
Source: British Journal of Political Science, Vol.43, Iss.4, 2012-10, pp. : 877-887
Disclaimer: Any content in publications that violate the sovereignty, the constitution or regulations of the PRC is not accepted or approved by CNPIEC.
Abstract
The likelihood of conflict and the observation of joint democracy tend to cluster regionally. This article tests the argument that these clusters can be explained by regional variations in the stability of international borders using a new dataset of territorial dispute hot spots from 1960–1998. These hot spots identify spatial and temporal correlations in the territorial dispute data and therefore serve as close proxies for regional or neighbourhood instability. The addition of these hot spots also eliminates a common form of omitted variable bias – the spatial clustering of conflict – in international conflict models. These results confirm that joint democracy is only statistically significant as a predictor of fatal militarized interstate disputes in more peaceful neighbourhoods once territorial hot spots are jointly estimated. The interaction between joint democracy and regional instability confirms that the effects of regime type on continued conflict apply mostly to dyads in peaceful regions.
Related content
From Democratic Peace to Democratic War?
By Geis Anna Brock Lothar Müller Harald
Peace Review, Vol. 19, Iss. 2, 2007-04 ,pp. :
On Democratic Peace and Democracy Exporting
Contemporary International Relations, Vol. 21, Iss. 2, 2011-04 ,pp. :
Review of International Studies, Vol. 36, Iss. 2, 2010-04 ,pp. :
An Institutional Explanation of the Democratic Peace
American Political Science Review, Vol. 93, Iss. 4, 1999-12 ,pp. :