Keynesian and Austrian Perspectives on Crisis, Shock Adjustment, Exchange Rate Regime and (Long-Term) Growth

Author: Maurel Mathilde  

Publisher: Springer Publishing Company

ISSN: 0923-7992

Source: Open Economies Review, Vol.23, Iss.5, 2012-11, pp. : 847-868

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Abstract

The 2010/11 European debt crisis has revived the discussion concerning the optimal adjustment strategy in the face of asymmetric shocks. This paper approaches the question from a theoretical perspective by confronting exchange rate based adjustment with crisis adjustment via price and wage cuts. Econometric estimations yield a negative impact of exchange rate flexibility/volatility on growth, which is found to be particularly strong for countries with asymmetric business cycles and during recessions. Price flexibility is found to have a positive impact on growth. Based on these findings we support a further enlargement of the European Monetary Union and recommend more exchange rate stability for the rest of the world.